Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 8.397292 9.318255 10.323726 11.507290 12.867865 14.389453 16.228920
2025-12-07 6.872804 8.029286 9.377978 11.081375 13.195782 15.761197 19.151202
2025-12-14 5.887113 7.108587 8.595409 10.563362 13.137627 16.444905 21.106401
2025-12-21 5.285499 6.553646 8.151789 10.350446 13.356063 17.411938 23.462506
2025-12-28 5.254709 6.698539 8.585841 11.292068 15.173684 20.706071 29.511731
2026-01-04 4.983223 6.490095 8.516744 11.519583 15.996525 22.670343 33.887564
2026-01-11 4.591919 6.080509 8.127489 11.239784 16.025529 23.424324 36.433898
2026-01-18 4.419970 5.957931 8.124038 11.511533 16.901307 25.581313 41.651509
2026-01-25 4.137439 5.654454 7.831220 11.311575 17.001469 26.471767 44.764494
2026-02-01 3.900190 5.399012 7.587444 11.160267 17.154385 27.453311 48.191634
2026-02-08 3.679205 5.152359 7.337499 10.973598 17.221067 28.278391 51.439449
2026-02-15 3.466288 4.904373 7.067722 10.729774 17.159358 28.852648 54.261578
2026-02-22 3.304385 4.731071 6.912507 10.679694 17.464286 30.209014 59.159739
2026-03-01 3.083088 4.453829 6.575683 10.296132 17.128722 30.290134 61.252640
2026-03-08 2.862755 4.166122 6.204336 9.823641 16.580147 29.874307 62.100713
2026-03-15 2.716641 3.988192 6.000883 9.629374 16.537856 30.486386 65.570390
2026-03-22 2.782581 4.152587 6.371229 10.487864 18.628622 35.914252 82.713655
2026-03-29 2.723404 4.108658 6.386336 10.695026 19.438013 38.659735 93.486098
2026-04-05 2.589213 3.933426 6.165260 10.440244 19.261506 39.104361 97.711660
2026-04-12 2.546908 3.909679 6.205749 10.687697 20.175867 42.286691 111.272358
2026-04-19 2.439309 3.769833 6.033011 10.505630 20.135018 43.109264 117.502601
2026-04-26 2.345376 3.649131 5.887991 10.367808 20.178623 44.154967 124.841198
2026-05-03 2.252481 3.526150 5.732454 10.197713 20.131939 44.959619 131.609096